Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.036245 0.042136 0.048682 0.056494 0.065567 0.075776 0.088140
2025-11-30 0.027340 0.035122 0.044660 0.057216 0.073323 0.093316 0.120056
2025-12-07 0.021527 0.029857 0.040867 0.056493 0.078133 0.107100 0.148923
2025-12-14 0.017374 0.025660 0.037310 0.054900 0.080841 0.117789 0.174601
2025-12-21 0.014390 0.022436 0.034366 0.053366 0.082949 0.127400 0.199573
2025-12-28 0.012737 0.020842 0.033442 0.054489 0.088885 0.143099 0.235510
2026-01-04 0.011244 0.019224 0.032177 0.054770 0.093355 0.156877 0.270057
2026-01-11 0.009998 0.017799 0.030977 0.054901 0.097454 0.170383 0.305757
2026-01-18 0.009059 0.016750 0.030232 0.055639 0.102585 0.186123 0.347248
2026-01-25 0.008354 0.016006 0.029899 0.057019 0.108958 0.204717 0.396216
2026-02-01 0.007324 0.014510 0.027996 0.055209 0.109120 0.211892 0.424553
2026-02-08 0.006613 0.013528 0.026919 0.054813 0.111884 0.224209 0.464343
2026-02-15 0.005951 0.012570 0.025796 0.054231 0.114319 0.236415 0.506094
2026-02-22 0.005526 0.012040 0.025461 0.055222 0.120117 0.256147 0.566315
2026-03-01 0.004999 0.011223 0.024426 0.054587 0.122370 0.268763 0.612931
2026-03-08 0.004462 0.010309 0.023070 0.053061 0.122452 0.276688 0.650137
2026-03-15 0.003995 0.009490 0.021812 0.051581 0.122421 0.284315 0.687634
2026-03-22 0.003764 0.009187 0.021675 0.052668 0.128467 0.306454 0.762375
2026-03-29 0.003501 0.008770 0.021222 0.052939 0.132594 0.324613 0.829912
2026-04-05 0.003254 0.008362 0.020737 0.053065 0.136377 0.342400 0.898943
2026-04-12 0.003064 0.008071 0.020499 0.053779 0.141727 0.364695 0.982624
2026-04-19 0.002922 0.007886 0.020503 0.055113 0.148850 0.392350 1.084272
2026-04-26 0.002640 0.007292 0.019392 0.053364 0.147581 0.398144 1.127542